Probabilities of conditionals and previsions of iterated conditionals
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities Ii
A dams's thesis about indicative conditionals is that their assertIlability goes by the conditional subjective probability of the consequent given the antecedent, in very much the same way that assertability normally goes by the subjective probability of truth.' The thesis is well established; the remaining question is how it may best be explained. The nicest explanation would be that the truth...
متن کاملThe Probability of Iterated Conditionals
Iterated conditionals of the form If p, then if q, r are an important topic in philosophical logic. In recent years, psychologists have gained much knowledge about how people understand simple conditionals, but there are virtually no published psychological studies of iterated conditionals. This paper presents experimental evidence from a study comparing the iterated form, If p, then if q, r wi...
متن کاملThe Probabilities of Conditionals Revisited
According to what is now commonly referred to as "the Equation" in the literature on indicative conditionals, the probability of any indicative conditional equals the probability of its consequent of the conditional given the antecedent of the conditional. Philosophers widely agree in their assessment that the triviality arguments of Lewis and others have conclusively shown the Equation to be t...
متن کاملConditionals, Conditional Probabilities, and Conditionalization
Philosophers investigating the interpretation and use of conditional sentences have long been intrigued by the intuitive correspondence between the probability of a conditional ‘if A, then C’ and the conditional probability of C, given A. Attempts to account for this intuition within a general probabilistic theory of belief, meaning and use have been plagued by a danger of trivialization, which...
متن کاملKaufmann on the Probabilities of Conditionals
Kaufmann has recently argued that the thesis according to which the probability of an indicative conditional equals the conditional probability of the consequent given the antecedent under certain specifiable circumstances deviates from intuition. He presents a method for calculating the probability of a conditional that does seem to give the intuitively correct result under those circumstances...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Approximate Reasoning
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0888-613X
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijar.2020.03.001